Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.033206 0.036200 0.039209 0.042452 0.045844 0.049281 0.053022
2026-01-11 0.028886 0.033363 0.038002 0.043146 0.048668 0.054397 0.060771
2026-01-18 0.025517 0.031068 0.036981 0.043698 0.051065 0.058854 0.067668
2026-01-25 0.021454 0.027606 0.034348 0.042189 0.050968 0.060414 0.071269
2026-02-01 0.018734 0.025377 0.032849 0.041720 0.051828 0.062863 0.075702
2026-02-08 0.016619 0.023649 0.031749 0.041550 0.052891 0.065429 0.080171
2026-02-15 0.015568 0.023078 0.031902 0.042741 0.055434 0.069600 0.086389
2026-02-22 0.014507 0.022396 0.031847 0.043621 0.057564 0.073263 0.092003
2026-03-01 0.013372 0.021529 0.031493 0.044085 0.059159 0.076274 0.096846
2026-03-08 0.012222 0.020554 0.030939 0.044247 0.060351 0.078783 0.101083
2026-03-15 0.011567 0.020179 0.031090 0.045234 0.062494 0.082375 0.106551
2026-03-22 0.010245 0.018812 0.029915 0.044530 0.062564 0.083511 0.109148
2026-03-29 0.009366 0.018019 0.029464 0.044729 0.063746 0.085989 0.113363
2026-04-05 0.008737 0.017537 0.029390 0.045383 0.065471 0.089106 0.118327
2026-04-12 0.008117 0.017024 0.029243 0.045923 0.067041 0.092033 0.123068
2026-04-19 0.006818 0.015390 0.027509 0.044358 0.065959 0.091750 0.123994
2026-04-26 0.005999 0.014423 0.026636 0.043870 0.066184 0.093011 0.126725
2026-05-03 0.005351 0.013671 0.026024 0.043692 0.066774 0.094697 0.129949
2026-05-10 0.005161 0.013665 0.026466 0.044916 0.069140 0.098544 0.135760
2026-05-17 0.004895 0.013509 0.026678 0.045821 0.071094 0.101887 0.140968
2026-05-24 0.004536 0.013157 0.026584 0.046298 0.072491 0.104541 0.145347
2026-05-31 0.004125 0.012677 0.026276 0.046465 0.073476 0.106680 0.149100
2026-06-07 0.003948 0.012614 0.026587 0.047480 0.075556 0.110173 0.154493